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2024-07-21 22:35:33 +0300

Goldman Floats Case for Lower VIX Even in Event of Recession

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Bloomberg
By Isabelle Lee

A recent bout of volatility in US equities has prompted some traders to think Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge should be higher. For Goldman Sachs Group Inc., that isn’t necessarily the case.

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In fact, strategists led by Rocky Fishman recommend investors buy puts on the Cboe Volatility Index, effectively betting on relative calm in coming months. The VIX, a gauge of cost for S&P 500 options, historically tends to move in the opposite direction of the equity gauge 80% of the time. At one level, the team’s prediction for lower VIX implies a call for higher share prices.

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